Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000160 0.000177 0.000196 0.000217 0.000242 0.000268 0.000299
2025-08-03 0.000130 0.000155 0.000185 0.000222 0.000267 0.000321 0.000391
2025-08-10 0.000108 0.000137 0.000172 0.000219 0.000280 0.000359 0.000467
2025-08-17 0.000094 0.000124 0.000163 0.000217 0.000293 0.000394 0.000543
2025-08-24 0.000082 0.000113 0.000154 0.000213 0.000300 0.000422 0.000612
2025-08-31 0.000072 0.000102 0.000143 0.000206 0.000301 0.000441 0.000667
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000096 0.000139 0.000207 0.000312 0.000474 0.000749
2025-09-14 0.000062 0.000092 0.000137 0.000210 0.000328 0.000517 0.000849
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000086 0.000131 0.000206 0.000332 0.000539 0.000918
2025-09-28 0.000051 0.000079 0.000123 0.000198 0.000328 0.000548 0.000965
2025-10-05 0.000048 0.000076 0.000121 0.000201 0.000341 0.000588 0.001073
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000075 0.000121 0.000206 0.000359 0.000638 0.001205
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000071 0.000118 0.000204 0.000367 0.000671 0.001314
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000068 0.000116 0.000208 0.000383 0.000724 0.001471
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000065 0.000112 0.000205 0.000388 0.000754 0.001585
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000203 0.000395 0.000789 0.001717
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000058 0.000105 0.000199 0.000397 0.000815 0.001831
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000054 0.000099 0.000193 0.000393 0.000825 0.001910
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000052 0.000098 0.000193 0.000403 0.000869 0.002078
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000196 0.000419 0.000929 0.002299
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000049 0.000094 0.000193 0.000420 0.000953 0.002428
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000045 0.000089 0.000185 0.000411 0.000953 0.002494
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000045 0.000088 0.000188 0.000426 0.001013 0.002736